Israel is projected to have a population of 9.26 million in 2025, compared with 6.37 million at the end of 2000, an increase of 45%, or 2.9 million people.
The Central Bureau of Statistics today published its population projections for Israel up to the year 2025. The figures indicate a substantial reduction in the population growth rate to an average of 1.5% a year between 2001 and 2025. Israel's population grew by 1.8% before 2005, and by 2.2% a year during the wave of immigration from the USSR and its successor states. The growth rate is projected to slow to 1.4% a year in 2016-2020, and to 1.3% a year in 2021-2025.
Central Bureau of Statistics' projections show Israel's population aging. The percentage of people over 65 will rise from 10% in 2000 to 13% in 2025. Israel's Jewish population is projected to reach 6.5 million in 2025, 70% of the total population, compared with 78% in 2000.
Israel's Arab population is projected to rise to 2.3 million, a quarter of the total population, compared with 19% in 2000. The growth rate until 2025 assumes a decline in the average fertility rate from 2.9 per woman in 2001-2005 to 2.7 per woman in 2021-2025. Average life expectancy is expected to rise by 2.6 years by 2025, to reach 79.8 year for men and 83.8 years for women.
340,000 Israelis are projected to emigrate by 2025. 543,000 people are projected to immigrate.
The aging of Israel's population will also be reflected in the rapid rise in the number of people over 75, from 276,000 in 2000, to 505,000 in 2025. The proportion of people over 75 will rise from 4.3% of the total population to 5.5%.
Israel's median age is expected to rise by three years from 28 today to 31. Although the number of children under 14 will rise from 1.8 million in 2000 to 2.4 million in 2025, their share of the population will fall from 28% to 26%. The number of working-age people (15-64) will grow from 3.9 million in 2000 to 5.7 million in 2025, but their proportion in the population will remain unchanged at 62%.
Published by Globes [online], Israel business news - www.globes.co.il - on April 5, 2005